KENTUCKY DERBY 2013 – PICKS

There doesn’t appear to be a real triple-crown contender this year, i.e: no real dominant horse.  So, the field appears to be wide open.  Also, with a 90% chance of rain at start time and continuous rain during the day, the muddy track should keep the race even more wide open.

1.     REVOLUTIONARY

Even though this horse is posting from an inside position (#3, or really 2 now that #1 posted horse has scratched), this horse is being ridden by Calvin Borrel who loves the rail.  Borrel has been nicknamed “Bo-rail” for his fence-skimming rides.  Also, Borrel has three Derby wins in the last six years.  This experience will be key on the muddy track.

As for the horse, he can run from behind to win.  (Louisiana Derby; and was in last place at Withers & came in 1st – both impressive wins).

2.     GOLDENCENTS

This horse has a very favorable Post Position (#8) and impressive win at Santa Anita over Flashback showing his stamina which will be key for distance.

He is trained by Doug O’Neill, who put unknown Mario Gutierrez aboard I’ll Have Another last year and won.  Trying to become the first trainer to win back-to-back Derbies since Bob Baffert in 1997-98.

Horse partially owned by Rick Pitino, the Louisville Cardinals head basketball coach.  He took his team to national championship this year and inducted into hall of fame next day.  Momentum is with him.

Relative unknown jockey Kevin Krigger, trying to become the first black jockey to win since Jimmy Winkfield in 1902.

Only real drawback – unknown in the mud. Or, I would have placed horse higher.

3.     VERRAZANO

This horse is 4-0 in his young career.  He has not run as a 2-year-old, which may not bode well for the horse, as none since Apollo in 1882 has won without racing as a juvenile. Still, this horse is a physical specimen who can handle distance.

Ridden by Johnny Velazquez; Trained by Todd Pletcher

4.     ORB

Inside word is that the horse worked out well at the track this week.  He has a four-race winning streak coming into the Derby.  He has also shown that he can come from behind to win (stamina) and has Hall of fame trainer Shug McGaughey behind him.

5.     NORMANDY INVASION

Looked impressive in Wood Memorial (2nd place) vs. Verrazano & Remsen Stakes (2nd); Jockey – Javier Castellano who won a Preakness Stakes picked this horse to ride over Verrazano;  Only issue is horse untested on sloppy track.

But, I love the name and owners – The colt is named for the Allied assault on Normandy in World War II because it has four D-Day veterans backing him.  As a WWII history buff, this pick is partially emotional.

LONG SHOT CONTENDERS:

VYJACK I wouldn’t normally like a horse coming from outside post on a sloppy track, but this scenario has proven successful for this horse in the past.  Liked showing at Wood Memorial.

FRAC DADDY Favorable position; Has proven he can win in the mud; impressive 2nd place at Kentucky Jockey Club.

MYLUTE  Has shown he can come from behind & contend (Impressive 2nd place win to Revolutionary at Louisiana Derby; 3rd at Delta Downs).

Also believe in only female jockey Rosie Napravnik.

OVERANALYZE can sit back and pounce as the front-runners begin to get weary in the stretch (Arkansas Derby

POST POSITIONS:

Post

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

1 SCR (Black Onyx) SCR SCR
2 Oxbow Gary Stevens D. Wayne Lukas
3 Revolutionary Calvin Borel Todd Pletcher
4 Golden Soul Robby Albarado Dallas Stewart
5 Normandy Invasion Javier Castellano Chad Brown
6 Mylute Rosie Napravnik Tom Amoss
7 Giant Finish Jose L. Espinoza Anthony W. Dutrow
8 Goldencents Kevin Krigger Doug O’Neill
9 Overanalyze Rafael Bejarano Todd Pletcher
10 Palace Malice Mike Smith Todd Pletcher
11 Lines of Battle Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien
12 Itsmyluckyday Elvis Trujillo Eddie Plesa Jr.
13 Falling Sky Luis Saez John Terranova II
14 Verrazano John R. Velazquez Todd Pletcher
15 Charming Kitten Edgar Prado Todd Pletcher
16 Orb Joel Rosario Claude R. McGaughey III
17 Will Take Charge Jon Court D. Wayne Lukas
18 Frac Daddy Victor Lebron Kenny McPeek
19 Java’s War Julien Leparoux Kenny McPeek
20 Vyjack Garrett Gomez Rudy Rodriguez

 

 



Source : Kentucky Derby Site

CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. Permissions beyond the scope of this license may be available at http://www.theladylovessports.com/contact.